NY Cases Spike, CDC Map Puts Most States at High Risk – NBC New York
Nearly 150 U.S. counties now meet the CDC’s threshold for a high-risk community-level COVID alert, marking a nearly three-fold increase in less than two weeks and a 79% increase since Monday, according to federal data on Friday – and only one county of New York’s 62 meets the health agency’s low-risk standard at this point.
That county, some might be surprised to learn, is the Bronx, the New York borough with the second-lowest full vaccination rate of the five, behind only Brooklyn (74% vs. 72%), according to department data. of city health.
The Bronx – the 10th worst US county for COVID deaths and the 20th worst for cases since the start of the pandemic, according to data from Johns Hopkins – also has the lowest booster dose (29%) of the five boroughs. Still, he has the lowest mobile infection rate in the city — and the entire state, apparently — and that’s not even close.
The Bronx has a new rolling case rate per 100,000 population of 182.41 (from 140.18 earlier in the week). It’s the only one of five boroughs where that stat is currently below 200, with Staten Island (389.17), Manhattan (377.29), Queens (328.41) and Brooklyn (282.86) pushing up the average. city mobile (302.62).
Lower testing rates don’t appear to be the reason the Bronx is the only county in New York that the CDC considers low risk for COVID. Mott Haven/Port Morris has third highest median daily test rate per 100,000 residents of all New York ZIP codes right now, according to health department data.
Whatever the reason, the Bronx is now isolated – with the other three counties in the state considered low risk by the CDC earlier in the week now being upgraded to high (Orange County) or medium risk (Chautauqua, Allegany). Based on the latest trends in New York, however, that distinction might not last long.
New York state represents just over a third of the 137 U.S. counties now designated high-risk by the CDC, which considers both new cases and hospital admission rates in its assessment. daily. Of New York’s 14 medium-risk COVID counties, two are in the city — Brooklyn and Queens — though COVID rates in the five boroughs have been climbing virtually everywhere lately.
Long Island’s COVID rates have also soared, with the slippery case rate per 100,000 population hitting 58.7, well above the state average (51) and the second highest of all 10 regions. of New York behind only Western New York (63.9).
Long Island also has the third-highest reinfection rate of the state’s 10 regions (6.6 reinfections per 100,000 residents over the past week), well above the average of 5.3 and the rate mobile reinfection in New York (4.1), The New York data shows it.
Long Island’s mobile hospitalization rate, however, remains below the state average (11.4 vs. 11.58, respectively), lending credence to ongoing claims by public health experts that the latest sub-variants, while extremely contagious, are not translating into a surge of more serious cases that could again overwhelm hospitals.
Nassau County has the higher of the two rolling new case rates (65.1 per 100,000 population versus Suffolk County’s 52.8), but the former’s top executive insists no new crises COVID emerges.
“Our hospitalization rate remains low, and most of those who become ill have cold symptoms,” Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, a Republican, said in a statement Friday. “I urge anyone who has contracted the virus to stay home and contact their doctor if necessary. Nassau is back to normal and we will continue to focus our efforts on helping residents recover from the social and financial burdens imposed by the pandemic.”
Steve Bellone, the Suffolk County Democratic executive, took a different tone, saying in a statement “COVID-19 is still here and we encourage all residents to take the necessary precautions, including getting vaccinated and strengthening to protect you, your loved ones and your community.”
Both Long Island counties are now on the CDC’s high-risk list. The vast majority of all counties on this list are in the Tri-State Area and New England, although there are higher-risk pockets in Illinois and Montana.
The vast majority of CDC-designated high-risk counties are on the East Coast. That includes all but two of Connecticut’s eight counties (with two more added to this list this week) and nine of New Jersey’s 21 counties. In the Garden State, the only remaining county with a low-risk rating is Cumberland, to the far south.
Admittedly, COVID-related hospitalizations have not increased as much as cases in any of the three states in what appears to be this fifth pandemic wave. In New York, they topped 2,000 earlier this month for the first time since late February, and now stand at 2,331, which has more than doubled over the past month as subvariants highly contagious omicron are tightening their contagious grip on New York State and the country.
Fortunately, this total is still well below the peak of over 12,600 from the omicron surge in January. Experts say they don’t foresee that kind of pressure on hospitals now.
There is no scientific evidence at this point to link BA.2.12.1 to more severe COVID-related illness or reduced vaccine efficacy. Officials say that’s why infection spikes associated with the subvariants are a cause for heightened vigilance, not panic.
Governor Kathy Hochul recently sought to underscore that point as she recovered from her own battle with COVID-19, despite being fully vaccinated and doubly boosted.
“Being fully vaccinated and keeping up to date on booster doses remains the most effective way to fight this virus,” the Democrat said in a statement Thursday. “As we mark the unthinkable milestone of one million American lives lost to COVID, let’s stay vigilant and continue to use the tools we have – get vaccinated, get boosted, test often, and if your test is positive, talk to your doctor about the information available This is how we move forward safely during the pandemic.
Omicron BA.2, also known as “stealth omicron”, has been the dominant strain of COVID-19 in the United States since March 2022.